Dan’s Oscar Picks!
2008 – I expect to go 5 for 6 with the BEST ACTRESS giving me the headache in what is another easily predictable year.
1. Best Picture: “Atonement,” “Juno,” “Michael Clayton,” “No Country for Old Men,” “There Will Be Blood.”
This is the Coen Brothers’ year, so No Country for Old Men wins this.
2. Actor: George Clooney, “Michael Clayton”; Daniel Day-Lewis, “There Will Be Blood”; Johnny Depp, “Sweeney Todd the Demon Barber of Fleet Street”; Tommy Lee Jones, “In the Valley of Elah”; Viggo Mortensen, “Eastern Promises.”
Daniel Day-Lewis wins here. Although Tommy Lee was great, and Clooney seems to have all the buzz right now.
3. Actress: Cate Blanchett, “Elizabeth: The Golden Age”; Julie Christie, “Away From Her”; Marion Cotillard, “La Vie en Rose”; Laura Linney, “The Savages”; Ellen Page, “Juno.”
This is a two horse race between Julie Christie, “Away From Her” and Marion Cotillard, “La Vie en Rose”, with Julie Christie winning as Hollywood loves their own!
4. Supporting Actor: Casey Affleck, “The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford”; Javier Bardem, “No Country for Old Men”; Hal Holbrook, “Into the Wild”; Philip Seymour Hoffman, “Charlie Wilson’s War”; Tom Wilkinson, “Michael Clayton.”
INTO THE WILD was one of the two worst pictures of last year, but Hal Holbrook was spectacular in it! However this seems to be Javier Bardem’s as part of the Coen’s year.
5. Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett, “I’m Not There”; Ruby Dee, “American Gangster”; Saoirse Ronan, “Atonement”; Amy Ryan, “Gone Baby Gone”; Tilda Swinton, “Michael Clayton.”
I have heard good things about Amy Ryan, and everyone else in this category, but it seems that Ruby Dee – who has never been nominated before – takes home the Award.
6. Director: Julian Schnabel, “The Diving Bell and the Butterfly”; Jason Reitman, “Juno”; Tony Gilroy, “Michael Clayton”; Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, “No Country for Old Men”; Paul Thomas Anderson, “There Will Be Blood.”
Coen Brothers! Period, end of story!
SOME EXTRAS AS WELL…BUT THESE ARE JUST HOPES, NOT PREDICTIONS
8. Adapted Screenplay: Christopher Hampton, “Atonement”; Sarah Polley, “Away from Her”; Ronald Harwood, “The Diving Bell and the Butterfly”; Joel Coen & Ethan Coen, “No Country for Old Men”; Paul Thomas Anderson, “There Will Be Blood.”
Would love to see Sarah Polley win here!
9. Original Screenplay: Diablo Cody, “Juno”; Nancy Oliver, “Lars and the Real Girl”; Tony Gilroy, “Michael Clayton”; Brad Bird, Jan Pinkava and Jim Capobianco, “Ratatouille”; Tamara Jenkins, “The Savages.”
Diablo Cody wins here…but all the rest are more interesting films.
16. Original Song: “Falling Slowly” from “Once,” Glen Hansard and Marketa Irglova; “Happy Working Song” from “Enchanted,” Alan Menken and Stephen Schwartz; “Raise It Up” from “August Rush,” Nominees to be determined; “So Close” from “Enchanted,” Alan Menken and Stephen Schwartz; “That’s How You Know” from “Enchanted,” Alan Menken and Stephen Schwartz.
This is the category that means the most to me as ONCE was my favourite film of 2007, so I truly hope it wins!!
So, to recap:
The 80th Annual Academy Awards
Best Motion Picture of the Year
Winner:
Dan’s Prediction – No Country For Old Men
Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Winner:
Dan’s Prediction – Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Winner:
Dan’s Prediction – Julie Christie, Away From Her
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Winner:
Dan’s Prediction – Javier Bardem, No Country For Old Men
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Winner:
Dan’s Prediction – Ruby Dee, American Gangster
Best Achievement in Directing
Winner:
Dan’s Prediction – Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country For Old Men
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2007 – DAN CORRECTLY PREDICTED FOUR OF THE SIX MAJOR CATEGORIES AGAIN THIS YEAR – AND HE ALSO SAID THAT IF EDDIE MURPHY DIDN’T WIN, ALAN ARKIN WOULD.
The 79th Annual Academy Awards
Best Motion Picture of the Year
Winner: The Departed (2006) – Graham King
Dan’s Prediction – Little Miss Sunshine
Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Winner: Forest Whitaker for The Last King of Scotland (2006)
Dan’s Prediction – Forest Whitaker
Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Winner: Helen Mirren for The Queen (2006)
Dan’s Prediction – Helen Mirren
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Winner: Alan Arkin for Little Miss Sunshine (2006)
Dan’s Prediction – Eddie Murphy
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Winner: Jennifer Hudson for Dreamgirls (2006)
Dan’s Prediction – Jennifer Hudson
Best Achievement in Directing
Winner: Martin Scorsese for The Departed (2006)
Dan’s Prediction – Martin Scorsese
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2006 – The 78th Annual Academy Awards were – Dan went 4 out of 6
Best Picture
WINNER – Crash
Dan’s Prediction – Brokeback Mountain – All the buzz remains behind this film. CRASH has some headlines, but the buzz is all about BROKEBACK MOUNTAIN.
Best Actor
WINNER – Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Dan’s Prediction – Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote – WALK THE LINE is selling lots of DVDs and Terrence Howard has a nice groundswell of support, but Hoffman’s performance is just head and shoulders above everyone else’s that – barring a BROKEBACK sweep he is a lock to win.
Best Actress
WINNER – Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line
Dan’s Prediction – Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line – Remember the year Julia Roberts won, well now it is Reese’s turn.
Best Supporting Actor
WINNER – Best Supporting Actor – George Clooney.
Dan’s Prediction – Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man – Had he only been nominated for SIDEWAYS last year…but he wasn’t, so this Oscar is his.
Best Supporting Actress
WINNER – Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener
Dan’s Prediction – Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener – She was the only thing worth watching in an unwatchable movie, and with all of the previous acting awards to her credit, she wins and thanks Ralph Finnes for being “Every actor’s dream to work with.”
Best Director
WINNER – Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
Dan’s Prediction – Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain – I believe in all of my predictions, but this is the evening’s one sure bet!
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2005 – The 77th Annual Academy Awards were – Dan went 5 out of 6
This is what I predicted in the six major categories:
BEST ACTOR – Jamie Foxx – RAY
BEST ACTRESS – Hilary Swank, MILLION DOLLAR BABY
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR – Morgan Freeman, MILLION DOLLAR BABY
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS – Virginia Madsen, SIDEWAYS
BEST PICTURE – MILLION DOLLAR BABY
And
BEST DIRECTOR – Clint Eastwood, MILLION DOLLAR BABY
The category I got wrong was BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS – Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Winner: Cate Blanchett for The Aviator
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